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Category: Research

FRED[1]

Don't Fight the Fed - Part 2

4 min read

Research

A few weeks ago I wrote about the actions the Fed is taking in order to stimulate the economy. If we look at the results, those actions seem to have paid off greatly. This week I wish to talk about...

dont-fight-the-fed[1]

Special COVID Report 3- Don’t Fight the Fed

6 min read

Research

These are unique times we are all experiencing. To help our clients we write a special macro newsletter to help them in their investing. This is the 3rd email we sent our clients, about the...

Moodys[1]

Special COVID-19 Investment Analysis - Part 2

3 min read

Research

Investing during a global pandemic poses unique challenges. Since we are not doctors we don't want to advise how to stay safe and bring the pandemic under control (it is more important, but there...

Moving Average edge

The Edge of Moving Average

3 min read

Research

This is the second part in the series about the edge of the market sentiment. The first part about relative strength edge was published a few weeks ago.

In this part I wish to describe a simple...

image3

The edge of Mean Reversion Trades

5 min read

Research

Mean Reversion Trades

To be a profitable trader, you need to trade with an edge. What is a trading edge? In short, it is the opportunities or patterns that exist in the market that has a high...

risk1

The edge of relative strength - Risk on / Risk off

3 min read

Research

Traders that trade with the trend, increases their chances to be profitable in the long run. While it is impossible to completely predict the market, we can judge different patterns and sentiments...

main-pic

How did Super Bowl LII affect the stock market?

3 min read

Research

It’s been more than a week since the Philadelphia Eagles upset against the New England Patriots in Super Bowl LII that brought the first professional sports title to the city of brotherly love. But...

Vix20180206

The markets plunge - what does Vix tell us?

2 min read

Research

(small update: The Vix gave more than 30% and faster than we projected. If you took our idea it might be good time to take some profits off the table)

Indeed an historical event, an event that can...

Avg-Straddle-Return[1]

The Edge of Option Selling - Part 1

4 min read

Research

Option trades can be either an option buyers and enjoy unlimited profit potential and limited risk, or be an option sellers and enjoy higher probability of profit (though the profit is limited)....

SP-Change1[1]

Edge of Skew Rank - Part 2

4 min read

Research

In the last article, Volatility Skew Rank – Part 1, we talked about what skew is. In this article, we will talk about ranking the volatility skew rank and its edge in the market.

Volatility Skew...

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