Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF (BND) Expected Move

Tracking the BND expected move helps you see how far Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF's options market is pricing the stock to travel over a given period — whether that's the next day, week, or earnings cycle. Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF's expected move is derived directly from option premiums and gives you an objective range to plan trades, set strikes, and manage risk. Use our scanner to monitor the BND expected move for this week's options, in real time.

The expected move is typically calculated from at-the-money straddle prices (or a blend of straddles and strangles) and represents roughly a one-standard-deviation range over the chosen timeframe. For BND, comparing the implied expected move to actual realized moves over similar windows tells you whether the options market has historically overestimated or underestimated volatility. The BND expected move for this week's options pricing is especially useful for short-dated traders, earnings players, and anyone selling premium who needs to know where the market thinks Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF is unlikely to go.

The fund’s investment objective is to seek to track the performance of a broad, market-weighted bond index. The fund generally: Provides broad exposure to the taxable investment-grade U.S. dollar-denominated bond market, excluding inflation-protected and tax-exempt bonds. Offers relatively high potential for investment income; share value tends to rise and fall modestly. May be more appropriate for medium- or long-term goals where you’re looking for a reliable income stream. Is appropriate for diversifying the risks of stocks in a portfolio.

Iron condors, weekly premium sales, directional swing trades — they all live or die by where the market thinks the stock won't go. Our scanner tracks the BND expected move across every expiration, benchmarks it against realized moves, and shows you when implied ranges are out of line with history. The Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF expected move for this week's options is the fastest read on short-term risk, which gives you a quick way to interpret what the options market thinks about BND.