Firefly Aerospace Inc

FLYNASDAQ · USD
20.76USD+5.58 (+36.81%)
435

Firefly Aerospace Inc (FLY) Historical Volatility

FLY's 30 day historical volatility is 81.46%, in the 21st percentile of readings over the past year. This is a low percentile, meaning Firefly Aerospace Inc shares have been calmer than usual. FLY's 30 day implied volatility sits at 126.38%, with an IV Rank of 85.32%, leaving IV 44.92 points above historical volatility. This means options are pricing in more movement than the stock has actually delivered, as of Nov 5, 2026.

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Tracking FLY historical volatility helps you see how much Firefly Aerospace Inc's stock price has actually moved, giving you a baseline for whether option premiums look fair, cheap, or expensive. While implied volatility shows what the market expects, FLY's HV, also known as realized volatility, shows what actually happened. Use our scanner to monitor FLY 30 day historical volatility alongside longer lookback windows and spot the moments when realized and implied diverge.

Historical volatility is the annualized standard deviation of a stock's past returns, typically measured over rolling windows like 10, 20, 30, or 60 days. FLY's 30 day historical volatility, or FLY HV, is one of the most widely watched readings because it balances responsiveness with stability. Comparing FLY's HV to its implied volatility reveals the volatility risk premium. When IV sits well above HV, options are pricing in more movement than the stock has actually delivered, giving option sellers an edge. When HV runs hot relative to IV, options are pricing in less movement than the stock has delivered, and buyers may be underpaying for it.

Firefly Aerospace Inc. operates as a space and defense technology company and provides mission solutions for national security, government, and commercial customers. It offers integrated launch and space services technology that is committed to enabling launch, transit, and operations in space. The company also provides Alpha, a responsive small launch service; Eclipse, a medium-lift launch vehicle; Blue Ghost, a lunar delivery and operation service; Elytra, which offers space maneuverability and servicing; and Ocula, a lunar imaging service. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Cedar Park, Texas.

Historical Volatility

HV Percentile
21stHV Percentile
Low

Historical movement is subdued versus the past year. The stock has been unusually quiet.

Historical Volatility (30d)81.46%

HV Percentile21st

Implied Volatility (30d)126.38%

IV Rank85.32%

IV Minus HV+44.92%

As of Nov 5, 2026

IV vs HV
Implied Volatility (IV) vs Historical Volatility (HV) over the past month.

As of Nov 5, 2026

IV - HV Difference
Difference between IV and HV over time. Positive values indicate IV > HV.

As of Nov 5, 2026

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