Aardvark Therapeutics Inc

AARDNASDAQ · USD
5.38USD0.00 (-2.72%)
2310

Aardvark Therapeutics Inc (AARD) Expected Move

AARD expected move through Oct 16, 2026 is 132.9%, with 26 days to expiration. The implied range is -$1.77 to $12.53, based on the previous trading day's options prices.

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Tracking the AARD expected move helps you see how far Aardvark Therapeutics Inc's options market is pricing the stock to travel over a given period — whether that's the next day, week, or earnings cycle. Aardvark Therapeutics Inc's expected move is derived directly from option premiums and gives you an objective range to plan trades, set strikes, and manage risk. Use our scanner to monitor the AARD expected move for this week's options, in real time.

The expected move is typically calculated from at-the-money straddle prices (or a blend of straddles and strangles) and represents roughly a one-standard-deviation range over the chosen timeframe. For AARD, comparing the implied expected move to actual realized moves over similar windows tells you whether the options market has historically overestimated or underestimated volatility. The AARD expected move for this week's options pricing is especially useful for short-dated traders, earnings players, and anyone selling premium who needs to know where the market thinks Aardvark Therapeutics Inc is unlikely to go.

Aardvark Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on developing small-molecule therapeutics to activate innate homeostatic pathways for the treatment of metabolic diseases. Its lead product candidate is the ARD-101, an oral gut-restricted small-molecule agonist of certain targeting bitter taste receptors expressed in the gut lumen that is in Phase III clinical trial for hyperphagia associated with Prader-Willi Syndrome, as well as in Phase II clinical trial for hyperphagia associated with acquired hypothalamic obesity resultant from treatment of craniopharyngioma, including surgery or radiation.

It also developing ARD-201, which is in Phase I clinical trial for the treatment of obesity. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is based in San Diego, California.

Iron condors, weekly premium sales, directional swing trades — they all live or die by where the market thinks the stock won't go. Our scanner tracks the AARD expected move across every expiration, benchmarks it against realized moves, and shows you when implied ranges are out of line with history. The Aardvark Therapeutics Inc expected move for this week's options is the fastest read on short-term risk, which gives you a quick way to interpret what the options market thinks about AARD.

AARD Price

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ExpirationDTEExpected move (USD)Expected move (%)Upper priceLower price
Oct 16, 202626$7.15132.9%$12.53-$1.77
Nov 20, 202661$4.5885.0%$9.96$0.80
Feb 19, 2027152$5.95110.6%$11.33-$0.57
May 21, 2027243$5.85108.7%$11.23-$0.47

As of September 18, 2026

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Track the AARD expected move across every expiration, filter by IV rank and liquidity, and trade around the range the market is already pricing in.

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