Alibaba Group Holding Ltd ADR
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd ADR (BABA) Expected Move
BABA expected move through Sep 18, 2026 is 1.8%, with 0 days to expiration. The implied range is $106.55 to $110.53, based on the previous trading day's options prices.
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Tracking the BABA expected move helps you see how far Alibaba Group Holding Ltd ADR's options market is pricing the stock to travel over a given period — whether that's the next day, week, or earnings cycle. Alibaba Group Holding Ltd ADR's expected move is derived directly from option premiums and gives you an objective range to plan trades, set strikes, and manage risk. Use our scanner to monitor the BABA expected move for this week's options, in real time.
The expected move is typically calculated from at-the-money straddle prices (or a blend of straddles and strangles) and represents roughly a one-standard-deviation range over the chosen timeframe. For BABA, comparing the implied expected move to actual realized moves over similar windows tells you whether the options market has historically overestimated or underestimated volatility. The BABA expected move for this week's options pricing is especially useful for short-dated traders, earnings players, and anyone selling premium who needs to know where the market thinks Alibaba Group Holding Ltd ADR is unlikely to go.
Alibaba Group Holding Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides technology infrastructure and marketing reach to help merchants, brands, retailers, and other businesses to engage with their users and customers in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company operates through seven segments: China Commerce, International Commerce, Local Consumer Services, Cainiao, Cloud, Digital Media and Entertainment, and Innovation Initiatives and Others. It operates Taobao and Tmall, which are digital retail platforms; Alimama, a proprietary monetization platform; 1688.com and Alibaba.com, which are online wholesale marketplaces; AliExpress, a retail marketplace; Lazada, Trendyol, and Daraz that are e-commerce platforms; Freshippo, a retail platform for groceries and fresh goods; and Tmall Global, an import e-commerce platform.
The company also operates Cainiao Network logistic services platform; Ele.me, an on-demand delivery and local services platform; Koubei, a restaurant and local services guide platform; and Fliggy, an online travel platform. In addition, it offers pay-for-performance, in-feed, and display marketing services; and Taobao Ad Network and Exchange, a real-time online bidding marketing exchange. Further, the company provides elastic computing, storage, network, security, database, big data, and IoT services; and hardware, software license, software installation, and application development and maintenance services. Additionally, it operates Youku, an online video platform; Quark, a platform for information search, storage, and consumption; Alibaba Pictures and other content platforms that provide online videos, films, live events, news feeds, literature, music, and others; Amap, a mobile digital map, navigation, and real-time traffic information app; DingTalk, a business efficiency mobile app; Tmall Genie smart speaker; and Qwen, an artificial intelligence chatbot. The company was incorporated in 1999 and is based in Hangzhou, the People's Republic of China.
Iron condors, weekly premium sales, directional swing trades — they all live or die by where the market thinks the stock won't go. Our scanner tracks the BABA expected move across every expiration, benchmarks it against realized moves, and shows you when implied ranges are out of line with history. The Alibaba Group Holding Ltd ADR expected move for this week's options is the fastest read on short-term risk, which gives you a quick way to interpret what the options market thinks about BABA.
BABA Price
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| Expiration | DTE | Expected move (USD) | Expected move (%) | Upper price | Lower price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | 0 | $1.99 | 1.8% | $110.53 | $106.55 |
| Sep 25, 2026 | 7 | $6.21 | 5.7% | $114.75 | $102.34 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | 14 | $7.74 | 7.1% | $116.28 | $100.80 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | 21 | $9.04 | 8.3% | $117.58 | $99.50 |
As of September 17, 2026
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