VanEck Bitcoin ETF

HODLCBOE · USD
21.41USD-0.08 (-0.38%)

VanEck Bitcoin ETF (HODL) Historical Volatility

HODL's 30 day historical volatility is 30.88%, in the 11th percentile of readings over the past year. This is a low percentile, meaning VanEck Bitcoin ETF shares have been calmer than usual. HODL's 30 day implied volatility sits at 45.67%, with an IV Rank of 48.81%, leaving IV 14.79 points above historical volatility. This means options are pricing in more movement than the stock has actually delivered, as of Nov 5, 2026.

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Tracking HODL historical volatility helps you see how much VanEck Bitcoin ETF's stock price has actually moved, giving you a baseline for whether option premiums look fair, cheap, or expensive. While implied volatility shows what the market expects, HODL's HV, also known as realized volatility, shows what actually happened. Use our scanner to monitor HODL 30 day historical volatility alongside longer lookback windows and spot the moments when realized and implied diverge.

Historical volatility is the annualized standard deviation of a stock's past returns, typically measured over rolling windows like 10, 20, 30, or 60 days. HODL's 30 day historical volatility, or HODL HV, is one of the most widely watched readings because it balances responsiveness with stability. Comparing HODL's HV to its implied volatility reveals the volatility risk premium. When IV sits well above HV, options are pricing in more movement than the stock has actually delivered, giving option sellers an edge. When HV runs hot relative to IV, options are pricing in less movement than the stock has delivered, and buyers may be underpaying for it.

The Trust's investment objective is to reflect the performance of the price of Bitcoin less the expenses of the Trust's operations. The Trust is a passive investment vehicle that does not seek to generate returns beyond tracking the price of bitcoin.

Historical Volatility

HV Percentile
11thHV Percentile
Low

Historical movement is subdued versus the past year. The stock has been unusually quiet.

Historical Volatility (30d)30.88%

HV Percentile11th

Implied Volatility (30d)45.67%

IV Rank48.81%

IV Minus HV+14.79%

As of Nov 5, 2026

IV vs HV
Implied Volatility (IV) vs Historical Volatility (HV) over the past month.

As of Nov 5, 2026

IV - HV Difference
Difference between IV and HV over time. Positive values indicate IV > HV.

As of Nov 5, 2026

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