Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund

MSDLNYSE · USD
14.62USD-0.26 (-1.75%)
942

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund (MSDL) Expected Move

MSDL expected move through Oct 16, 2026 is 6.8%, with 27 days to expiration. The implied range is $13.61 to $15.63, based on the previous trading day's options prices.

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Tracking the MSDL expected move helps you see how far Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund's options market is pricing the stock to travel over a given period — whether that's the next day, week, or earnings cycle. Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund's expected move is derived directly from option premiums and gives you an objective range to plan trades, set strikes, and manage risk. Use our scanner to monitor the MSDL expected move for this week's options, in real time.

The expected move is typically calculated from at-the-money straddle prices (or a blend of straddles and strangles) and represents roughly a one-standard-deviation range over the chosen timeframe. For MSDL, comparing the implied expected move to actual realized moves over similar windows tells you whether the options market has historically overestimated or underestimated volatility. The MSDL expected move for this week's options pricing is especially useful for short-dated traders, earnings players, and anyone selling premium who needs to know where the market thinks Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund is unlikely to go.

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund is a business development and finance company, which engages in lending to middle-market companies. It invests in directly originated senior secured term loans including first lien senior secured term loans and second lien senior secured term loans. The company was founded on May 30, 2019 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

Iron condors, weekly premium sales, directional swing trades — they all live or die by where the market thinks the stock won't go. Our scanner tracks the MSDL expected move across every expiration, benchmarks it against realized moves, and shows you when implied ranges are out of line with history. The Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund expected move for this week's options is the fastest read on short-term risk, which gives you a quick way to interpret what the options market thinks about MSDL.

MSDL Price

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ExpirationDTEExpected move (USD)Expected move (%)Upper priceLower price
Oct 16, 202627$1.016.8%$15.63$13.61
Nov 20, 202662$3.4823.4%$18.10$11.15
Dec 18, 202690$3.2321.7%$17.85$11.40
Jan 15, 2027118$2.4916.7%$17.11$12.13

As of September 17, 2026

Know What the Market Expects From MSDL

Track the MSDL expected move across every expiration, filter by IV rank and liquidity, and trade around the range the market is already pricing in.

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