Novavax Inc

NVAXNASDAQ · USD
10.63USD+0.52 (+5.15%)
269

Novavax Inc (NVAX) Expected Move

NVAX expected move through Sep 25, 2026 is 8.5%, with 3 days to expiration. The implied range is $9.77 to $11.49, based on the previous trading day's options prices.

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Tracking the NVAX expected move helps you see how far Novavax Inc's options market is pricing the stock to travel over a given period — whether that's the next day, week, or earnings cycle. Novavax Inc's expected move is derived directly from option premiums and gives you an objective range to plan trades, set strikes, and manage risk. Use our scanner to monitor the NVAX expected move for this week's options, in real time.

The expected move is typically calculated from at-the-money straddle prices (or a blend of straddles and strangles) and represents roughly a one-standard-deviation range over the chosen timeframe. For NVAX, comparing the implied expected move to actual realized moves over similar windows tells you whether the options market has historically overestimated or underestimated volatility. The NVAX expected move for this week's options pricing is especially useful for short-dated traders, earnings players, and anyone selling premium who needs to know where the market thinks Novavax Inc is unlikely to go.

Novavax, Inc., a biotechnology company, focuses on the discovery, development, and commercialization of vaccines to prevent serious infectious diseases and address health needs. The company's vaccine candidates include NVX-CoV2373, a coronavirus vaccine candidate that is in two Phase III trials, one Phase IIb trial, and one Phase I/II trial; NanoFlu, a nanoparticle seasonal quadrivalent influenza vaccine candidate that is in Phase 3 clinical trial; and ResVax, a respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) fusion (F) protein nanoparticle vaccine candidate. It is also developing RSV F vaccine that is in Phase II clinical trial for older adults (60 years and older), as well as that is in Phase I clinical trial for pediatrics.

It has a collaboration agreement with Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited for the development, manufacturing, and commercialization of NVX-CoV2373, a COVID-19 vaccine candidate. Novavax, Inc. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, Maryland.

Iron condors, weekly premium sales, directional swing trades — they all live or die by where the market thinks the stock won't go. Our scanner tracks the NVAX expected move across every expiration, benchmarks it against realized moves, and shows you when implied ranges are out of line with history. The Novavax Inc expected move for this week's options is the fastest read on short-term risk, which gives you a quick way to interpret what the options market thinks about NVAX.

NVAX Price

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ExpirationDTEExpected move (USD)Expected move (%)Upper priceLower price
Sep 25, 20263$0.868.5%$11.49$9.77
Oct 2, 202610$1.9219.0%$12.55$8.71
Oct 9, 202617$1.5315.1%$12.16$9.11
Oct 16, 202624$1.6816.6%$12.31$8.95

As of September 18, 2026

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Track the NVAX expected move across every expiration, filter by IV rank and liquidity, and trade around the range the market is already pricing in.

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