Abrdn Gold ETF Trust

SGOLAMEX · USD
41.35USD0.00 (-0.70%)

Abrdn Gold ETF Trust (SGOL) Expected Move

SGOL expected move through Oct 16, 2026 is 4.5%, with 24 days to expiration. The implied range is $39.50 to $43.20, based on the previous trading day's options prices.

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Tracking the SGOL expected move helps you see how far Abrdn Gold ETF Trust's options market is pricing the stock to travel over a given period — whether that's the next day, week, or earnings cycle. Abrdn Gold ETF Trust's expected move is derived directly from option premiums and gives you an objective range to plan trades, set strikes, and manage risk. Use our scanner to monitor the SGOL expected move for this week's options, in real time.

The expected move is typically calculated from at-the-money straddle prices (or a blend of straddles and strangles) and represents roughly a one-standard-deviation range over the chosen timeframe. For SGOL, comparing the implied expected move to actual realized moves over similar windows tells you whether the options market has historically overestimated or underestimated volatility. The SGOL expected move for this week's options pricing is especially useful for short-dated traders, earnings players, and anyone selling premium who needs to know where the market thinks Abrdn Gold ETF Trust is unlikely to go.

abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF (SGOL) seeks to reflect the performance of the price of gold bullion, less the Trust's expenses.

Iron condors, weekly premium sales, directional swing trades — they all live or die by where the market thinks the stock won't go. Our scanner tracks the SGOL expected move across every expiration, benchmarks it against realized moves, and shows you when implied ranges are out of line with history. The Abrdn Gold ETF Trust expected move for this week's options is the fastest read on short-term risk, which gives you a quick way to interpret what the options market thinks about SGOL.

SGOL Price

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ExpirationDTEExpected move (USD)Expected move (%)Upper priceLower price
Oct 16, 202624$1.854.5%$43.20$39.50
Nov 20, 202659$3.418.3%$44.76$37.94
Dec 18, 202687$3.799.2%$45.14$37.56
Mar 19, 2027178$5.9614.4%$47.31$35.39

As of September 21, 2026

Know What the Market Expects From SGOL

Track the SGOL expected move across every expiration, filter by IV rank and liquidity, and trade around the range the market is already pricing in.

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