UPAR Ultra Risk Parity ETF

UPARAMEX · USD
15.85USD0.00 (-0.36%)

UPAR Ultra Risk Parity ETF (UPAR) Expected Move

UPAR expected move through Oct 16, 2026 is 12.3%, with 25 days to expiration. The implied range is $13.90 to $17.80, based on the previous trading day's options prices.

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Tracking the UPAR expected move helps you see how far UPAR Ultra Risk Parity ETF's options market is pricing the stock to travel over a given period — whether that's the next day, week, or earnings cycle. UPAR Ultra Risk Parity ETF's expected move is derived directly from option premiums and gives you an objective range to plan trades, set strikes, and manage risk. Use our scanner to monitor the UPAR expected move for this week's options, in real time.

The expected move is typically calculated from at-the-money straddle prices (or a blend of straddles and strangles) and represents roughly a one-standard-deviation range over the chosen timeframe. For UPAR, comparing the implied expected move to actual realized moves over similar windows tells you whether the options market has historically overestimated or underestimated volatility. The UPAR expected move for this week's options pricing is especially useful for short-dated traders, earnings players, and anyone selling premium who needs to know where the market thinks UPAR Ultra Risk Parity ETF is unlikely to go.

Access the same risk parity strategy as RPAR but with a higher target return and risk. The fund diversifies its allocations amongst four asset classes – equities, commodities, Treasury bonds, and TIPS.

Iron condors, weekly premium sales, directional swing trades — they all live or die by where the market thinks the stock won't go. Our scanner tracks the UPAR expected move across every expiration, benchmarks it against realized moves, and shows you when implied ranges are out of line with history. The UPAR Ultra Risk Parity ETF expected move for this week's options is the fastest read on short-term risk, which gives you a quick way to interpret what the options market thinks about UPAR.

UPAR Price

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ExpirationDTEExpected move (USD)Expected move (%)Upper priceLower price
Oct 16, 202625$1.9512.3%$17.80$13.90
Nov 20, 202660$2.3014.5%$18.15$13.55
Dec 18, 202688$2.5315.9%$18.38$13.33
Mar 19, 2027179$3.3521.1%$19.20$12.50

As of September 18, 2026

Know What the Market Expects From UPAR

Track the UPAR expected move across every expiration, filter by IV rank and liquidity, and trade around the range the market is already pricing in.

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