Vanguard Materials ETF

VAWAMEX · USD
222.59USD-2.39 (-1.07%)

Vanguard Materials ETF (VAW) Expected Move

VAW expected move through Oct 16, 2026 is 4.2%, with 21 days to expiration. The implied range is $213.20 to $231.98, based on the previous trading day's options prices.

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Tracking the VAW expected move helps you see how far Vanguard Materials ETF's options market is pricing the stock to travel over a given period — whether that's the next day, week, or earnings cycle. Vanguard Materials ETF's expected move is derived directly from option premiums and gives you an objective range to plan trades, set strikes, and manage risk. Use our scanner to monitor the VAW expected move for this week's options, in real time.

The expected move is typically calculated from at-the-money straddle prices (or a blend of straddles and strangles) and represents roughly a one-standard-deviation range over the chosen timeframe. For VAW, comparing the implied expected move to actual realized moves over similar windows tells you whether the options market has historically overestimated or underestimated volatility. The VAW expected move for this week's options pricing is especially useful for short-dated traders, earnings players, and anyone selling premium who needs to know where the market thinks Vanguard Materials ETF is unlikely to go.

Seeks to track the performance of a benchmark index that measures the investment return of stocks in the materials sector.Passively managed, using a full-replication strategy when possible and a sampling strategy if regulatory constraints dictate.Includes stocks of companies that extract or process raw materials.

Iron condors, weekly premium sales, directional swing trades — they all live or die by where the market thinks the stock won't go. Our scanner tracks the VAW expected move across every expiration, benchmarks it against realized moves, and shows you when implied ranges are out of line with history. The Vanguard Materials ETF expected move for this week's options is the fastest read on short-term risk, which gives you a quick way to interpret what the options market thinks about VAW.

VAW Price

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ExpirationDTEExpected move (USD)Expected move (%)Upper priceLower price
Oct 16, 202621$9.394.2%$231.98$213.20
Nov 20, 202656$14.636.5%$237.22$207.97
Feb 19, 2027147$23.1310.3%$245.72$199.47
May 21, 2027238$31.2013.9%$253.79$191.39

As of September 23, 2026

Know What the Market Expects From VAW

Track the VAW expected move across every expiration, filter by IV rank and liquidity, and trade around the range the market is already pricing in.

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