Valero Energy Corp
Valero Energy Corp (VLO) Expected Move
VLO expected move through Sep 25, 2026 is 5.2%, with 4 days to expiration. The implied range is $391.91 to $434.66, based on the previous trading day's options prices.
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Tracking the VLO expected move helps you see how far Valero Energy Corp's options market is pricing the stock to travel over a given period — whether that's the next day, week, or earnings cycle. Valero Energy Corp's expected move is derived directly from option premiums and gives you an objective range to plan trades, set strikes, and manage risk. Use our scanner to monitor the VLO expected move for this week's options, in real time.
The expected move is typically calculated from at-the-money straddle prices (or a blend of straddles and strangles) and represents roughly a one-standard-deviation range over the chosen timeframe. For VLO, comparing the implied expected move to actual realized moves over similar windows tells you whether the options market has historically overestimated or underestimated volatility. The VLO expected move for this week's options pricing is especially useful for short-dated traders, earnings players, and anyone selling premium who needs to know where the market thinks Valero Energy Corp is unlikely to go.
Valero Energy Corporation manufactures, markets, and sells transportation fuels and petrochemical products in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Ireland, and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Refining, Renewable Diesel, and Ethanol. It produces conventional, premium, and reformulated gasolines; gasoline meeting the specifications of the California Air Resources Board (CARB); diesel fuels, and low-sulfur and ultra-low-sulfur diesel fuels; CARB diesel; other distillates; jet fuels; blendstocks; and asphalts, petrochemicals, lubricants, and other refined petroleum products, as well as sells lube oils and natural gas liquids.
As of December 31, 2021, the company owned 15 petroleum refineries with a combined throughput capacity of approximately 3.2 million barrels per day; and 12 ethanol plants with a combined ethanol production capacity of approximately 1.6 billion gallons per year. It sells its refined products through wholesale rack and bulk markets; and through approximately 7,000 outlets under the Valero, Beacon, Diamond Shamrock, Shamrock, Ultramar, and Texaco brands. The company also produces and sells ethanol, dry distiller grains, syrup, and inedible corn oil primarily to animal feed customers. In addition, it owns and operates crude oil and refined petroleum products pipelines, terminals, tanks, marine docks, truck rack bays, and other logistics assets; and owns and operates a plant that processes animal fats, used cooking oils, and inedible distillers corn oils into renewable diesel. The company was formerly known as Valero Refining and Marketing Company and changed its name to Valero Energy Corporation in August 1997. Valero Energy Corporation was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in San Antonio, Texas.
Iron condors, weekly premium sales, directional swing trades — they all live or die by where the market thinks the stock won't go. Our scanner tracks the VLO expected move across every expiration, benchmarks it against realized moves, and shows you when implied ranges are out of line with history. The Valero Energy Corp expected move for this week's options is the fastest read on short-term risk, which gives you a quick way to interpret what the options market thinks about VLO.
VLO Price
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| Expiration | DTE | Expected move (USD) | Expected move (%) | Upper price | Lower price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | 4 | $21.38 | 5.2% | $434.66 | $391.91 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | 11 | $32.30 | 7.8% | $445.58 | $380.98 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | 18 | $39.33 | 9.5% | $452.60 | $373.96 |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 25 | $46.30 | 11.2% | $459.58 | $366.98 |
As of September 18, 2026
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