Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc

ARINYSE · USD
6.45USD0.00 (-0.77%)
1052

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc (ARI) Expected Move

ARI expected move through Sep 18, 2026 is 79.7%, with 0 days to expiration. The implied range is $1.31 to $11.59, based on the previous trading day's options prices.

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Tracking the ARI expected move helps you see how far Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc's options market is pricing the stock to travel over a given period — whether that's the next day, week, or earnings cycle. Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc's expected move is derived directly from option premiums and gives you an objective range to plan trades, set strikes, and manage risk. Use our scanner to monitor the ARI expected move for this week's options, in real time.

The expected move is typically calculated from at-the-money straddle prices (or a blend of straddles and strangles) and represents roughly a one-standard-deviation range over the chosen timeframe. For ARI, comparing the implied expected move to actual realized moves over similar windows tells you whether the options market has historically overestimated or underestimated volatility. The ARI expected move for this week's options pricing is especially useful for short-dated traders, earnings players, and anyone selling premium who needs to know where the market thinks Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc is unlikely to go.

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT) that originates, acquires, invests in, and manages commercial first mortgage loans, subordinate financings, and other commercial real estate-related debt investments in the United States. It is qualified as a REIT under the Internal Revenue Code. As a REIT, it would not be subject to federal income taxes, if the company distributes at least 90% of its REIT taxable income to its stockholders. Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. was founded in 2009 and is based in New York, New York.

Iron condors, weekly premium sales, directional swing trades — they all live or die by where the market thinks the stock won't go. Our scanner tracks the ARI expected move across every expiration, benchmarks it against realized moves, and shows you when implied ranges are out of line with history. The Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc expected move for this week's options is the fastest read on short-term risk, which gives you a quick way to interpret what the options market thinks about ARI.

ARI Price

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ExpirationDTEExpected move (USD)Expected move (%)Upper priceLower price
Sep 18, 20260$5.1479.7%$11.59$1.31
Oct 16, 202628$2.6841.5%$9.13$3.78
Nov 20, 202663$5.5185.5%$11.96$0.94
Dec 18, 202691$5.6387.2%$12.08$0.83

As of September 17, 2026

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Track the ARI expected move across every expiration, filter by IV rank and liquidity, and trade around the range the market is already pricing in.

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