Vanguard Intermediate-Term Bond ETF

BIVAMEX · USD
73.96USD-0.28 (-0.38%)

Vanguard Intermediate-Term Bond ETF (BIV) Expected Move

BIV expected move through Oct 16, 2026 is 1.2%, with 27 days to expiration. The implied range is $73.05 to $74.87, based on the previous trading day's options prices.

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Tracking the BIV expected move helps you see how far Vanguard Intermediate-Term Bond ETF's options market is pricing the stock to travel over a given period — whether that's the next day, week, or earnings cycle. Vanguard Intermediate-Term Bond ETF's expected move is derived directly from option premiums and gives you an objective range to plan trades, set strikes, and manage risk. Use our scanner to monitor the BIV expected move for this week's options, in real time.

The expected move is typically calculated from at-the-money straddle prices (or a blend of straddles and strangles) and represents roughly a one-standard-deviation range over the chosen timeframe. For BIV, comparing the implied expected move to actual realized moves over similar windows tells you whether the options market has historically overestimated or underestimated volatility. The BIV expected move for this week's options pricing is especially useful for short-dated traders, earnings players, and anyone selling premium who needs to know where the market thinks Vanguard Intermediate-Term Bond ETF is unlikely to go.

Seeks to track the investment return of the Bloomberg U.S. 5–10 Year Government/Credit Float Adjusted Index, a market-weighted bond index that covers investment-grade bonds with a dollar-weighted average maturity of 5 to 10 years. Invests in U.S. government high-quality (investment grade) corporate and investment-grade international dollar-denominated bonds. Passively managed, using index sampling.

Iron condors, weekly premium sales, directional swing trades — they all live or die by where the market thinks the stock won't go. Our scanner tracks the BIV expected move across every expiration, benchmarks it against realized moves, and shows you when implied ranges are out of line with history. The Vanguard Intermediate-Term Bond ETF expected move for this week's options is the fastest read on short-term risk, which gives you a quick way to interpret what the options market thinks about BIV.

BIV Price

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ExpirationDTEExpected move (USD)Expected move (%)Upper priceLower price
Oct 16, 202627$0.911.2%$74.87$73.05
Nov 20, 202662$1.281.7%$75.24$72.68
Jan 15, 2027118$1.782.4%$75.74$72.18
Apr 16, 2027209$2.303.1%$76.26$71.66

As of September 17, 2026

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