Geo Group Inc
Geo Group Inc (GEO) Expected Move
GEO expected move through Oct 16, 2026 is 10.0%, with 24 days to expiration. The implied range is $27.21 to $33.29, based on the previous trading day's options prices.
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Tracking the GEO expected move helps you see how far Geo Group Inc's options market is pricing the stock to travel over a given period — whether that's the next day, week, or earnings cycle. Geo Group Inc's expected move is derived directly from option premiums and gives you an objective range to plan trades, set strikes, and manage risk. Use our scanner to monitor the GEO expected move for this week's options, in real time.
The expected move is typically calculated from at-the-money straddle prices (or a blend of straddles and strangles) and represents roughly a one-standard-deviation range over the chosen timeframe. For GEO, comparing the implied expected move to actual realized moves over similar windows tells you whether the options market has historically overestimated or underestimated volatility. The GEO expected move for this week's options pricing is especially useful for short-dated traders, earnings players, and anyone selling premium who needs to know where the market thinks Geo Group Inc is unlikely to go.
The GEO Group, Inc. engages in the ownership, leasing, and management of secure facilities, reentry facilities, and processing centers in the United States, Australia, and South Africa. It operates through four segments: U.S. Secure Services, Electronic Monitoring and Supervision Services, Reentry Services, and International Services. The company provides counseling, education, and treatment for alcohol and drug abuse problems at various facilities; and compliance technologies for monitoring services, and evidence-based supervision and treatment programs for community-based parolees, probationers, and pretrial defendants.
It also offers secure facility management services, including security, administrative, rehabilitation, education, and food services at secure services facilities; reentry services comprising supervision of individuals in community-based programs and reentry centers, and provision of temporary housing, programming, employment assistance, and other services; and supervision and reporting services that improves the participation of non-detained aliens in the immigration court system. In addition, the company provides secure transportation services; and rehabilitation services, such as evidence-based, including cognitive behavioral treatment and post-release services, as well as academic and vocational classes in life skills and treatment programs under the GEO Continuum of Care platform; and develops new facilities based on contract, as well as designs, constructs, and finances the facilities. The GEO Group, Inc. was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Boca Raton, Florida.
Iron condors, weekly premium sales, directional swing trades — they all live or die by where the market thinks the stock won't go. Our scanner tracks the GEO expected move across every expiration, benchmarks it against realized moves, and shows you when implied ranges are out of line with history. The Geo Group Inc expected move for this week's options is the fastest read on short-term risk, which gives you a quick way to interpret what the options market thinks about GEO.
GEO Price
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| Expiration | DTE | Expected move (USD) | Expected move (%) | Upper price | Lower price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 24 | $3.04 | 10.0% | $33.29 | $27.21 |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 59 | $5.60 | 18.5% | $35.85 | $24.65 |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 87 | $6.43 | 21.2% | $36.68 | $23.83 |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 115 | $7.16 | 23.7% | $37.41 | $23.09 |
As of September 18, 2026
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