Moderna Inc

MRNANASDAQ · USD
182.56USD+9.62 (+5.57%)
2310

Moderna Inc (MRNA) Expected Move

MRNA expected move through Sep 25, 2026 is 7.2%, with 3 days to expiration. The implied range is $170.07 to $195.05, based on the previous trading day's options prices.

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Tracking the MRNA expected move helps you see how far Moderna Inc's options market is pricing the stock to travel over a given period — whether that's the next day, week, or earnings cycle. Moderna Inc's expected move is derived directly from option premiums and gives you an objective range to plan trades, set strikes, and manage risk. Use our scanner to monitor the MRNA expected move for this week's options, in real time.

The expected move is typically calculated from at-the-money straddle prices (or a blend of straddles and strangles) and represents roughly a one-standard-deviation range over the chosen timeframe. For MRNA, comparing the implied expected move to actual realized moves over similar windows tells you whether the options market has historically overestimated or underestimated volatility. The MRNA expected move for this week's options pricing is especially useful for short-dated traders, earnings players, and anyone selling premium who needs to know where the market thinks Moderna Inc is unlikely to go.

Moderna, Inc., a biotechnology company, discovers, develops, and commercializes messenger RNA therapeutics and vaccines for the treatment of infectious diseases, immuno-oncology, rare diseases, cardiovascular diseases, and auto-immune diseases in the United States, Europe, and internationally. Its respiratory vaccines include COVID-19, flu, respiratory syncytial virus, Endemic HCoV, and hMPV+PIV3 vaccines; latent vaccines comprise cytomegalovirus, epstein-barr virus, human immunodeficiency virus, herpes simplex virus, and varicella-zoster virus vaccines; and public health vaccines consists of Zika and Nipah vaccines.

The company also offers systemic secreted and cell surface therapeutics; cancer vaccines, such as personalized cancer, KRAS, and checkpoint vaccines; intratumoral immuno-oncology products; localized regenerative, systemic intracellular, and inhaled pulmonary therapeutics. It has strategic alliances with AstraZeneca PLC; Merck & Co., Inc.; Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated; Vertex Pharmaceuticals (Europe) Limited; Carisma Therapeutics, Inc.; Metagenomi, Inc.; the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency; Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority; Institute for Life Changing Medicines; and The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, as well as a collaboration and license agreement with Chiesi Farmaceutici S.P.A. The company was formerly known as Moderna Therapeutics, Inc. and changed its name to Moderna, Inc. in August 2018. Moderna, Inc. was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts.

Iron condors, weekly premium sales, directional swing trades — they all live or die by where the market thinks the stock won't go. Our scanner tracks the MRNA expected move across every expiration, benchmarks it against realized moves, and shows you when implied ranges are out of line with history. The Moderna Inc expected move for this week's options is the fastest read on short-term risk, which gives you a quick way to interpret what the options market thinks about MRNA.

MRNA Price

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ExpirationDTEExpected move (USD)Expected move (%)Upper priceLower price
Sep 25, 20263$12.497.2%$195.05$170.07
Oct 2, 202610$19.1111.1%$201.67$163.45
Oct 9, 202617$24.2814.0%$206.84$158.29
Oct 16, 202624$27.3515.8%$209.91$155.21

As of September 21, 2026

Know What the Market Expects From MRNA

Track the MRNA expected move across every expiration, filter by IV rank and liquidity, and trade around the range the market is already pricing in.

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