Phillips 66
Phillips 66 (PSX) Expected Move
PSX expected move through Sep 18, 2026 is 1.8%, with 0 days to expiration. The implied range is $269.30 to $279.12, based on the previous trading day's options prices.
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Tracking the PSX expected move helps you see how far Phillips 66's options market is pricing the stock to travel over a given period — whether that's the next day, week, or earnings cycle. Phillips 66's expected move is derived directly from option premiums and gives you an objective range to plan trades, set strikes, and manage risk. Use our scanner to monitor the PSX expected move for this week's options, in real time.
The expected move is typically calculated from at-the-money straddle prices (or a blend of straddles and strangles) and represents roughly a one-standard-deviation range over the chosen timeframe. For PSX, comparing the implied expected move to actual realized moves over similar windows tells you whether the options market has historically overestimated or underestimated volatility. The PSX expected move for this week's options pricing is especially useful for short-dated traders, earnings players, and anyone selling premium who needs to know where the market thinks Phillips 66 is unlikely to go.
Phillips 66 operates as an energy manufacturing and logistics company. It operates through four segments: Midstream, Chemicals, Refining, and Marketing and Specialties (M&S). The Midstream segment transports crude oil and other feedstocks; delivers refined petroleum products to market; provides terminaling and storage services for crude oil and refined petroleum products; transports, stores, fractionates, exports, and markets natural gas liquids; provides other fee-based processing services; and gathers, processes, transports, and markets natural gas. The Chemicals segment produces and markets ethylene and other olefin products; aromatics and styrenics products, such as benzene, cyclohexane, styrene, and polystyrene; and various specialty chemical products, including organosulfur chemicals, solvents, catalysts, and chemicals used in drilling and mining.
The Refining segment refines crude oil and other feedstocks into petroleum products, such as gasolines, distillates, aviation, and renewable fuels at 12 refineries in the United States and Europe. The M&S segment purchases for resale and markets refined petroleum products, including gasolines, distillates, and aviation fuels primarily in the United States and Europe. This segment also manufactures and markets specialty products, such as base oils and lubricants. The company was founded in 1875 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
Iron condors, weekly premium sales, directional swing trades — they all live or die by where the market thinks the stock won't go. Our scanner tracks the PSX expected move across every expiration, benchmarks it against realized moves, and shows you when implied ranges are out of line with history. The Phillips 66 expected move for this week's options is the fastest read on short-term risk, which gives you a quick way to interpret what the options market thinks about PSX.
PSX Price
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| Expiration | DTE | Expected move (USD) | Expected move (%) | Upper price | Lower price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | 0 | $4.91 | 1.8% | $279.12 | $269.30 |
| Sep 25, 2026 | 7 | $12.95 | 4.7% | $287.16 | $261.26 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | 14 | $17.75 | 6.5% | $291.96 | $256.46 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | 21 | $22.00 | 8.0% | $296.21 | $252.21 |
As of September 17, 2026
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