Tracking the TMFC expected move helps you see how far Motley Fool 100 Index ETF's options market is pricing the stock to travel over a given period — whether that's the next day, week, or earnings cycle. Motley Fool 100 Index ETF's expected move is derived directly from option premiums and gives you an objective range to plan trades, set strikes, and manage risk. Use our scanner to monitor the TMFC expected move for this week's options, in real time.
The expected move is typically calculated from at-the-money straddle prices (or a blend of straddles and strangles) and represents roughly a one-standard-deviation range over the chosen timeframe. For TMFC, comparing the implied expected move to actual realized moves over similar windows tells you whether the options market has historically overestimated or underestimated volatility. The TMFC expected move for this week's options pricing is especially useful for short-dated traders, earnings players, and anyone selling premium who needs to know where the market thinks Motley Fool 100 Index ETF is unlikely to go.
Under normal circumstances, at least 80% of the fund's total assets (exclusive of any collateral held from securities lending) will be invested in the component securities of the index. The index was established by TMF in 2017 and is a proprietary, rules-based index designed to track the performance of the 100 largest, most liquid U.S. companies that have been recommended by TMF’s analysts and newsletters. The fund is non-diversified.
Iron condors, weekly premium sales, directional swing trades — they all live or die by where the market thinks the stock won't go. Our scanner tracks the TMFC expected move across every expiration, benchmarks it against realized moves, and shows you when implied ranges are out of line with history. The Motley Fool 100 Index ETF expected move for this week's options is the fastest read on short-term risk, which gives you a quick way to interpret what the options market thinks about TMFC.
