Tracking the UGA expected move helps you see how far United States Gasoline Fund LP's options market is pricing the stock to travel over a given period — whether that's the next day, week, or earnings cycle. United States Gasoline Fund LP's expected move is derived directly from option premiums and gives you an objective range to plan trades, set strikes, and manage risk. Use our scanner to monitor the UGA expected move for this week's options, in real time.
The expected move is typically calculated from at-the-money straddle prices (or a blend of straddles and strangles) and represents roughly a one-standard-deviation range over the chosen timeframe. For UGA, comparing the implied expected move to actual realized moves over similar windows tells you whether the options market has historically overestimated or underestimated volatility. The UGA expected move for this week's options pricing is especially useful for short-dated traders, earnings players, and anyone selling premium who needs to know where the market thinks United States Gasoline Fund LP is unlikely to go.
The fund invests in futures contracts for gasoline, other types of gasoline, crude oil, diesel-heating oil, natural gas and other petroleum-based fuels. The Benchmark Futures Contract is the futures contract on gasoline as traded on the New York Mercantile Exchange that is the near month contract to expire, except when the near month contract is within two weeks of expiration.
Iron condors, weekly premium sales, directional swing trades — they all live or die by where the market thinks the stock won't go. Our scanner tracks the UGA expected move across every expiration, benchmarks it against realized moves, and shows you when implied ranges are out of line with history. The United States Gasoline Fund LP expected move for this week's options is the fastest read on short-term risk, which gives you a quick way to interpret what the options market thinks about UGA.
