Firefly Aerospace Inc

FLYNASDAQ · USD
20.70USD-1.02 (-4.72%)
432

Firefly Aerospace Inc (FLY) Expected Move

FLY expected move through Sep 18, 2026 is 4.8%, with 0 days to expiration. The implied range is $19.65 to $21.75, based on the previous trading day's options prices.

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Tracking the FLY expected move helps you see how far Firefly Aerospace Inc's options market is pricing the stock to travel over a given period — whether that's the next day, week, or earnings cycle. Firefly Aerospace Inc's expected move is derived directly from option premiums and gives you an objective range to plan trades, set strikes, and manage risk. Use our scanner to monitor the FLY expected move for this week's options, in real time.

The expected move is typically calculated from at-the-money straddle prices (or a blend of straddles and strangles) and represents roughly a one-standard-deviation range over the chosen timeframe. For FLY, comparing the implied expected move to actual realized moves over similar windows tells you whether the options market has historically overestimated or underestimated volatility. The FLY expected move for this week's options pricing is especially useful for short-dated traders, earnings players, and anyone selling premium who needs to know where the market thinks Firefly Aerospace Inc is unlikely to go.

Firefly Aerospace Inc. operates as a space and defense technology company and provides mission solutions for national security, government, and commercial customers. It offers integrated launch and space services technology that is committed to enabling launch, transit, and operations in space. The company also provides Alpha, a responsive small launch service; Eclipse, a medium-lift launch vehicle; Blue Ghost, a lunar delivery and operation service; Elytra, which offers space maneuverability and servicing; and Ocula, a lunar imaging service. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Cedar Park, Texas.

Iron condors, weekly premium sales, directional swing trades — they all live or die by where the market thinks the stock won't go. Our scanner tracks the FLY expected move across every expiration, benchmarks it against realized moves, and shows you when implied ranges are out of line with history. The Firefly Aerospace Inc expected move for this week's options is the fastest read on short-term risk, which gives you a quick way to interpret what the options market thinks about FLY.

FLY Price

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ExpirationDTEExpected move (USD)Expected move (%)Upper priceLower price
Sep 18, 20260$1.054.8%$21.75$19.65
Sep 25, 20267$2.049.4%$22.74$18.66
Oct 2, 202614$2.8413.1%$23.54$17.86
Oct 9, 202621$3.2314.8%$23.93$17.47

As of September 17, 2026

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